Terror Term paper

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Countering Terrorism

There are currently more than 1500 terrorist

organizations and groups being monitored in the United

States. Terrorists by definition kill people and

destroy property in order to advance a political

agenda. We must make every effort to protect American

citizens from these attacks. In the future that will

require both state of the art measures to monitor

terrorist activities and the movement of materials

used for these activities, but also response scenarios

in the event of an actual incident. The United States

has consistently set a good example of no negotiations

with terrorists and attempting to bring alleged

terrorists to trial. We need to support humanitarian,

political, and educational efforts to decrease the

incidence of terrorism across the world. That includes

measures to eliminate the production and deployment of

nuclear, biological, and chemical weapons. We need to

maintain a high level of vigilance to protect the

security of the United States.

The FBI is the lead agency in the the fight against

terrorism. This FBI has been very effective in

coordinating the efforts of other agencies. They have

been successful in finding the perpetrators of

terrorist activity and preventing many terrorist

incidents. The problem is that no federal agency can

be expected to find all of the terrorists, before they

commit violent crimes. The bombing incidents at the

World Trade Center and Oklahoma City are two examples.

In both of these incidents, conventional explosives

technology was used to kill people and destroy

property. There are current efforts coordinated by the

FBI to obtain intelligence on the groups that would

use these methods and intercept them before the

incidents occur. These incidents will continue to

require concerted efforts by national and

international law enforcement agencies. But there are

possible incidents that could lead to greater loss of

life. Those incidents would occur if terrorists used

biological, chemical, or nuclear weapons.

Bioterrorism

Bioterrorism is using biological warfare agents to

commit terrorist crimes. There are various estimates

of the effects of terrorists releasing various

biological weapons on an unsuspecting population. The

Johns Hopkins University Center for Civilian

Biodefense suggest that the three most likely

biological agents that could be used include smallpox,

anthrax, and plague. There are several other bacteria,

viruses, and biological toxins that are also

considered candidates for biological warfare or

terrorism. On October 1, 1999 Dr. Kanatjan Alibekov, a

former Soviet military officer who was second in

command of their biological weapons division appeared

on ABC News Prime Time Live. He had defected from the

Soviet Union in 1992. He wrote a classified report at

that time that this program had produced hundreds of

tons of anthrax and several tons of small pox virus

and plague bacteria. He said that the Russians were

continuing to actively work on biological weapons.

This allegation was subsequently denied by Russian

officials. The most significant threat from biological

weapons currently has to do with the security of the

Russian supply of these materials. Because these

weapons are inexpensive to produce and deploy there

are concerns that they may be the agents of choice for

some states that sponsor terrorist activity. The World

Health Organization has estimated the lethality of

these weapons. The lethality of smallpox, anthrax, and

plague are given in the table below:

Agent

Case Fatality Rate

Treatment and Prevention

Smallpox

30%

Vaccination

Anthrax

80%

Vaccination, Antibiotics

Plague

50%

Vaccination, Antibiotics

The Working Group on Civilian Biodefense has concluded

that of the total number of known biological agents

only a few would be suitable as weapons of mass

destruction. Various estimates about the lethality of

these agents are available. A 1993 report by the

Congressional Office of Technology Assessment

estimates that an aircraft release of 50 pounds of

anthrax spores over a large metropolitan area would

result in 130,000 to 3 million deaths. This is the

same magnitude of the expected casualties expected in

a nuclear attack. The main problem in the case of a

biological weapon attack is recognition of the illness

and taking the appropriate treatment measures. Some of

the symptom presentations are difficult to figure out,

and any delay in diagnosis can lead to further poor

outcomes and further spread of the illness. If the

attack is not announced, the only early sign may be a

large increase in serious respiratory disease in a

community.

Nuclear Terrorism

Nuclear terrorism is a consequence of nuclear

proliferation and advanced technology. As early as

1980, the Soviet Union and the United States produced

working suitcase sized nuclear weapons that could be

used for the purpose of terrorism. The United States

subsequently disposed of these weapons. Dr. Alexie

Yablokov gave testimony to the Research and

Development Subcommittee in 1997 and asserted that

these "suitcase bombs" exist and that many were

unaccounted for. The Committee Chairman,

Representative Curt Weldon said that in other contacts

as many as 132 of these devices were built in Russia

and that only 48 could be located. There was some

controversy about the health effects of dispersing

plutonium into the water supply or air, rather than

using it for weapons. The main problem that any

terrorist group would have is getting plutonium to

produce a weapon. There are currently nine countries

that stockpile weapons grade plutonium. They hold

approximately 250 Tons of this material. The largest

supplies are thought to be in Israel and India. It

takes about 3-4 kg of plutonium to produce a nuclear

warhead. This stock can produce about 80,000 nuclear

weapons.

The real current danger in terms of the nuclear threat

of terrorist "suitcase bombs" is the availability of

weapons grade plutonium to terrorists. It is estimated

that a few kilograms of this material could be

purchased on the black market for several million

dollars. There are rumors that attempts to make these

purchases have already occurred. The availability of

plutonium for sale to terrorist organizations also

depends on the stability of a country's economy. It is

thought that a destabilized economy increases the

likelihood of a transaction with terrorists. To

directly deal with this threat, Congress has initiated

and maintained various program since 1991 to assist

Russia in providing adequate security...

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