Nuclear Proliferation Term paper
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What is the best way to address the question of nuclear proliferation in the coming century? In this paper I will state my views on the inevitability of nuclear proliferation and the views of others, as well as addressing what will come of the vertical proliferation of nuclear technology and delivery systems. The potential use of nuclear weapons continues to pose one of the greatest immediate dangers to world security (Zachary.D,p106?) Everything depends on how proliferation is managed. Mismanaged proliferation could produce disaster and well managed proliferation could reduce the threat of a nuclear war and other threats.
The dangers that could arise from mismanaged proliferation are profound and numerous. There is the danger that the proliferation process itself could give one of the existing nuclear powers a strong incentive to stop a non-nuclear neighbor from joining the nuclear club, like how Israel used force to stop Iraq from acquiring a nuclear capability. There is also the danger that an unstable nuclear competition could emerge among the new nuclear states like India and Pakistan. They might lack the resources to make their nuclear forces invulnerable, which could create first-strike incentives. Also, there is the danger that proliferation would increase the risk that nuclear weapons could be fired by accident, captured by terrorists, or change possession because of governments. People also think that these and other dangers of proliferation can be lessened if the current nuclear powers take the right steps.
To stop preventive attacks, they can extend security guarantees. To help the new nuclear powers secure their deterrents, they can provide technical assistance although, this has backfired in the past for example Pakistan received a lot of conventional weapons from the US to stop their nuclear weapons program, then Pakistan didn t stop and they used the US F-16 for their delivery system. The first nuclear powers can agree to arms control like strategic arms reduction treaty between the US and the former U.S.S.R. Also they can help to teach nuclear states to understand the power of the forces they are acquiring. This kind of well-managed proliferation could help peace well not damaging states influence on non-nuclear states. The horizontal proliferation of nuclear weapons has caused all the conflicts listed above, but the solutions given are not easy to carry out.
There is no way nuclear proliferation could be stopped; it can only be slowed down. The Nuclear Proliferation Treaty has attempted to contain the proliferation but with limited success because, it is very difficult to enforce. States could hide their weapons or remove themselves from this voluntary treaty, for example North Korea signed the NPT in 1985 and did not allow inspections until 1992 and they are...
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